By Mark Pukalo
The end was somewhat sobering for the
Tampa Bay Lightning.
Even though there was plenty of time to
get the equalizer, when Duncan Keith lifted his own rebound over Ben Bishop
late in the second period of Game 6 for a 1-0 lead you wondered if the dream
was over. Everything seemed even harder for the Bolts after that.
Maybe if Steven Stamkos’ shot had been a
fraction of an inch lower in the first period or the puck hopped over Corey
Crawford’s pad off the captain’s stick on his second period breakaway, or soon
after Anton Stralman got his blade on Jonathan Drouin’s nifty cross-ice pass with
a wide-open net, things would have been different. It just wasn’t to be – this
time.
The highest-scoring team in the NHL in
2014-15, which jumped to a 2-1 lead in the Stanley Cup finals, would end up
scoring only twice total in three straight losses to end its season. If they
had been told the Hawks would score six times combined in Games 4-6, the Bolts
would have taken that and expected at least a Game 7 at home.
There are no clear reasons why the
Lightning lost to the worthy Chicago Blackhawks. They just faced a team that
did not give them as many mistakes to capitalize on. You can pick your favorite
whipping boy and cover him with blame or point to an injury, but it comes down to this. The Lightning
was good enough to win a Cup. They just couldn’t finish the job.
The second guessers have some things to
talk about. With Tyler Johnson obviously hurting badly, could coach Jon Cooper
have broken up the Triplets to give him a smaller role and put Stamkos between
Ondrej Palat and Nikita Kucherov? Would Nikita Nesterov, Mark Barberio or Luke
Witkowski have coughed up fewer pucks than Andrej Sustr? Could Cooper have
chained Bishop to the net mentally in Game 5? Would Stamkos have contributed
more with a few more shifts per game? Could Drouin have helped in Game 4?
All of those are legitimate, but the
Bolts still could have won a Cup if they had made just a few more big plays. That’s
why, in a strange way, there was something about the sorrow of coming so close
and losing that did not leave as bad a taste in your mouth. The Lightning
gained so much experience over the last two months and succeeded under the most
pressure imaginable. They went an impressive 8-5 on the road in the playoffs
and young players raised their games to amazing levels. There’s no reason why
they can’t do it again.
While Johnson’s performance in Game 4 of
the Detroit series might have saved Cooper and the season, there is no doubt
defenseman Victor Hedman was the team’s best player in the playoffs. He was
dominant in all three zones and played with the calm and poise of his
countryman Nicklas Lidstrom, who was the best rearguard in the world over 10-15
years before he retired recently. I still get annoyed when I hear some dopey
fan or a radio personality (from 9 a.m.-12 on WDAE) knocking him. Hedman has
been this talented all along. If you couldn’t see it, you were blind or did not
know hockey. He just needed time. Almost all defensemen do.
While everyone had their moments, Alex
Killorn and Palat stood out to me. They were constant forces on the ice,
whether they had the puck or not. I remember watching Killorn at Deerfield
Academy years ago and knowing he would be an NHL player because he showed such
smarts and versatility with a pair of soft hands. It wasn’t hard to see. Kucherov
was also great at times in the postseason. He just needs to shoot more. J.T.
Brown, who I doubted before the playoffs, lifted his game to the highest level
in his career as well on the bottom two lines and Stralman showed why he might
have been the most astute free-agent signing ever by GM Steve Yzerman.
The Lightning likely would have beaten
any other team the Western Conference produced. The Blackhawks just had the
most ideas, the most savvy, the most scoring options of any opponent Tampa Bay
faced. Chicago could win in more ways and they found the right route through
the maze of fallen bodies to win four times. Plus, they were run by two former
Hartford Whalers – steady Joel Quenneville and Kevin Dineen. There are not many
classier athletes I’ve met than Dineen, who should get another head coaching
chance.
Yzerman said he didn’t expect major
changes to the roster for 2015-16 -- but he wouldn’t just after a season like
this. The Lightning are in good shape with the salary cap for the next
campaign. That’s a nice position for Yzerman to be in, giving him a chance to tackle
the long-term plan -- which could be much trickier.
Stamkos is the first priority, but
that’s up to the captain on how long he wants to draw it out. Will he sign now
and make plenty of money in a state that has no income tax? Not sure why he
wouldn’t. Or will he wait? The question is, does No. 91 want one of those 10-12
year contracts for over $100 million or might he take a 5-6 year deal with a
big early bonus? I’d offer five years at $55 million, with 15 coming in
2016-17. That way, Stamkos could get one more big deal after that in his early
30s.
I believe the Lightning will get his
signature on a long-term contract this summer, but where will Stamkos play next
season? He was productive on the wing with Val Filppula, but moving back
to center would probably be the best for him and the team. You can start the
season, assuming no deals, with Jonathan Drouin and Killorn on his wings. You
can move Filppula between Callahan and perhaps Vladislav Namestnikov or Brown.
Maybe Adam Erne moves in around midseason on the left. Cedric Paquette joining Brian
Boyle and Brown or Namestnikov or Jonathan Marchessault on the fourth line
would work.
The Bolts could also make a minor move
for a veteran third-line center for one year and keep Stamkos at right wing.
That center would be a good two-way player who can finish setups from Drouin.
Paquette is a good player, but I think he would be more valuable in a
fourth-line, penalty-kill role going forward. He can fill in on the third line if
there are injuries. The Lightning brass also has to make a decision on
Namestnikov. I think he is a good player to have around, but not sure he is the
third-line center of the future and he does not seem to be as good on the wing. At some point, the Bolts need to have a
top-nine center with size and more speed than Paquette to plug in. Brayden
Point and Matt Peca could be NHLers at some point, but don’t have the frame
necessary to fill that role.
I would listen to offers for Namestnikov
if a Western Conference team is looking for third-line center and wants to give
up a No. 5-6 right-handed defenseman in a package or two picks – including
another second – this year.
Yzerman should lock up Killorn, who I
believe has one year left on a deal, and Kucherov early. This might sound very
strange, but going forward Johnson might be the player to go if the Lightning
have cap problems when Stamkos, Hedman, Killorn and others get their deals. I
think Palat and Killorn can do more over the long haul and Johnson, while a
fantastic player, might not have the staying power as he continues to take
abuse. Not saying they should dump Johnson, but if the Bolts need to trade
someone with great value down the road, it might be him.
Trading defenseman Matt Carle is the
most logical way to open up some cap space over the next few seasons. That
won’t be easy though. Carle could help a handful of teams in the league (Dallas
and Calgary?), but can they convince him to waive a no trade clause and find a
team that won’t force them to take back much salary? A buyout might end up
being the best option, but three years remain on the deal.
There’s got to be a team out there that will take Barberio for a draft pick. He
played pretty well this season and could be a strong No. 6 or 7 for plenty of
teams in this league. The Bolts need to make room for Witkowski, Nesterov and
perhaps Slater Koekkoek, and Barbs deserves a chance to play for another
organization rather than serving popcorn here.
Brayden Coburn has one year left on his contract and Jason Garrison three at a reasonable cap number (4.6) for a top-four D man Then there’s Sustr. Through most of the regular
season he was showing progress and he played fairly well in the first two
rounds of the playoffs. In the final two, he was exposed. The Lightning has to
decide whether he is what he is or whether he is still getting better. I would
put him in the Namestnikov category. If there’s a really good deal to be made,
I’d include him. Plus, I think Witkowski has potential to be a decent No. 6-7 on
the right side and Anthony DeAngelo is coming. I believe Dominik Masin (pronounced
machine) can be a valuable defenseman as well on the left side. Can’t wait
until he is ready.
The top two needs, if the Lightning is
so inclined to shift some chairs around, in my opinion are – a right-handed defenseman with size that can
push Sustr and Witkowski to a higher level or beat them out with steadier play
and a third-line center who can play the wing if needed with one year left on
the deal to take Brenden Morrow’s veteran leadership spot. I don’t know enough
about the injury situation or the character of Matt Cullen, but perhaps someone of his ilk. Morrow might want to come back as the No. 13 forward, but I’d decline.
He played well at times, but his value is too low at this point.
No need to talk about the goaltending
much. Bishop proved he can win a Cup and I have fully learned how to type the
name of Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is going to be a monster in net. Adam Wilcox
could be a good one as well and Kristers Gudlevskis might be solid trade bait
down the road while adding depth.
Draft One Week Away
This year’s loaded draft offers the
Lightning a chance to add to an already solid talent pool.
There are so many players between picks
28-64 that are very intriguing and the Bolts can grab three. I would love to
see Swedish centre Joel Eriksson Ek fall to 28, but that is unlikely. Sons of
former NHLers Jake DeBrusk and Jansen Harkins – two heady forwards – could be
there, though.
I like the sound of DeAngelo’s teammate
at Sault Ste. Marie -- Zach Senyshyn -- who scored 26 goals in mainly a fourth-line
role with such a talented forward group, and might be there in the second round.
The Bolts need to upgrade size up front and add another right-hand shot on
defense along with a goalie in the nine picks they own.
Look for my NHL and NBA mock drafts by next Wednesday.
Look for my NHL and NBA mock drafts by next Wednesday.
No depression
I was not crushed by the Lightning loss
in the finals. Maybe I don’t get wrapped up in the whole journey like I used to.
The only thing is, when you get that
close and don’t raise the Cup you have to look at how long and bumpy the road
is to get back to that point again. I feel confident the Bolts will have the
chance to make a run every year from now on though. The ingredients are all
there. They just need a little luck and for a few of their prospects to turn
into helpful players in the next few years.
And. … for Drouin to remain wearing a
Lightning sweater.