Tuesday, June 28, 2022

Lightning Come Up Two Wins Short of History


By Mark Pukalo

     

       You wanted it to last forever, but the Tampa Bay Lightning’s magical ride had to end at some point.


       The Bolts looked like they had faced the ultimate stop sign a few times in the first three rounds of the 2021-22 playoffs, but they blew right through them all. A rare third straight championship run seemed almost destined at times.


       Finally, Tampa Bay met a team that might have been a smidgen better, luckier, faster and seemingly much healthier in the Stanley Cup finals. It was the Colorado Avalanche’s time and they took advantage of the opportunity.


     If someone had told Lightning fans they would allow two goals in the first 60 minutes of three home games in the finals and battle the Avs to two one-goal games in Denver, there would be no hesitation. They’d take that. But the Bolts could not steal Game 1 and failed to manage three goals in Game 4 or 6 at Amalie Arena. That just wasn’t good enough.


      Oh, there were some bad calls and Brayden Point was not available while many other Tampa Bay players were banged up pretty bad. But no excuses. Colorado deserved most of its breaks. The Avs also won the special teams battle decisively, which was a major factor.

  

       That doesn’t take anything away from the efforts of the Lightning, from the owner, to the GM, the coaches, the trainers and the warriors in uniform. They were just a few plays from making history with a third straight Cup - a feat that has not been accomplished since the mid 1980s. They faced four teams that won at least 52 games in the regular season and beat three. They did not have home-ice advantage in any series. But they kept moving forward.


       It was often the Tampa Bay Find-A-Ways in the regular season as they battled through injuries and eager opponents to accumulate another 100-point campaign.


       Three times they followed a loss with a win to dispatch the Toronto Maple Leafs in the first round after a brilliant effort defensively in Game 7. 


      Ross Colton drilled home a nifty pass from Nikita Kucherov in the final seconds to win Game 2 at Florida and Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 49 shots to finish the sweep of the hated Panthers two contests later in the second round.


       The Lightning looked dead and beaten after two rough performances at Madison Square Garden, but roared back to win the next four over the upstart New York Rangers in the Eastern Conference finals.


        The Bolts just kept giving this season. Thrills after thrills. But they were not playing Dallas or Montreal in the finals this season. Their bag of tricks did not have enough left to stop Colorado’s stunning 16-4 postseason run this time.


       But, man, what a season of highs for Tampa Bay.


       **Captain Steven Stamkos put up a career-high 106 points.

       **Defenseman Victor Hedman reached 20 goals for the first time in his career and was top three in the Norris Trophy voting for the sixth straight season.

        **Kucherov had 69 points in 47 games.

        **Alex Killorn had a career-high 59 points, but ran out of gas in the playoffs going without a goal.

        **Ondrej Palat scored his most goals since 2013-14 in the regular season (18) and a team-high tying 11 more in the postseason, including seven in third periods and three gamewinners.

        **Ageless Corey Perry signed for $1 million and scored 19 goals (six more in the playoffs), tying his most since 2015-16.

        **Colton followed up his surprising rookie season with 22 goals in 2021-22.

        **Pat Maroon scored 11 goals - his most since logging 14 with Edmonton in 2017-18.

        **Jan Rutta was a career-best +25.

        **Nick Paul quickly became a fan favorite after being acquired from Ottawa for Mathieu Joseph, sealing that with two goals in Game 7 against Toronto.

        **Fourth-line center Pierre-Edouard Bellemare was a career-best +24 and tied his best with nine goals.

        **Vasilevskiy reached at least 30 wins for the fifth straight season (39) and had a .922 save percentage in the playoffs despite giving up seven in Game 2 of the finals.

        **Backup goalie Brian Elliott was 11-4-3 and had his best save percentage (.912) since 2015-16 with St. Louis.


        In some ways, it was a more remarkable season than the two Cup runs, and there’s no reason they are done creating great memories.

      

Julien Brisebois, up for GM of the year, has given the Lightning a chance to be a contender for years with smart moves. He has given up a lot of high picks in the draft to get that done, but Scouting Director Al Murray and his staff are so good at picking in the middle and late rounds some of the overpays are excusable. 


        We will see what happens this offseason.

       

The Bolts should probably let Rutta go, even though he played above expectations a lot, with a viable and cheaper top six option in Cal Foote ready to take his place. Foote made strides this season, but coach Jon Cooper went with the veterans midstream and Rutta, along with Zach Bogosian, raised their games in the Eastern finals.


        The rest of the defense may stay the same unless JB decides to see what some teams in the Western Conference may offer for Mikhail Sergachev. The young defenseman played much better later in the playoffs, but drives you crazy at times. You wonder at the end of his current contract after next season if he is worth a long-term deal at $6-7 million. He certainly has the ability. It shines through at times. But it’s not a crime to see what Los Angeles, Anaheim, Dallas and others in the West might offer - a first, a second and one or two prospects that are ready in a bigger deal? 

     

       It would be interesting what the brass thinks of Sergy’s play overall. The inconsistency has to worry them. But, then again, his ceiling is very very high as well.


       Nick Perbix, who began is pro career in Syracuse late last season, is a right-handed offensive defenseman who could help soon. That may factor in as well.


       Up front, everything will hinge on Palat. Someone will probably offer him approximately five years at about $6 million - perhaps even more. Not sure the Lightning can offer more than 4-4.5 for three years. Does he want the big money or Tampa?


       Paul helped in the process by signing for seven years at a reasonable $3.15 million cap hit Friday and it has been rumored that the Bolts have talked to veteran defenseman Ryan McDonagh about waiving his no trade clause to free up another $6,75 mil in cap space. That deal would make Sergachev a definite keeper as a second pair lefty d man. Perhaps someone would take Killorn for the final year of his deal to create even more room with Point's cap hit going up $2.75 mil. 


       JB said Tuesday he has already spoken to Palat and Rutta's agents. The quicker decisions can be made, the better.


      The draft is next week and the Bolts have a late first-round pick. Most likely, the best player available is gonna be the selection. But a lefty defenseman and a scoring winger seem to be needs going forward. Looking forward to seeing defenseman Jack Thompson and center Jack Finley at Syracuse next season.


       It’s only been a few days, but I already miss hockey. Three in a row did not work for the Bolts. But three of four would be pretty darn good, too.


       Never count them out. The Lightning are here to stay. As the captain said, “Who says we’re done?”


       No one.


Tuesday, June 14, 2022

Defense the Key to Unlocking a Three-Peat

 

By Mark Pukalo


The Tampa Bay Lightning have the formula. It's proven.

The question that they must answer in the next two weeks is if that magical recipe can work against another speedy, talented, prolific offensive team.

It took the Bolts a little time to slow down the second-highest scoring team in the league and the NHL's top power play during the first round - giving up one goal over nearly the final 100 minutes of the series to dispatch Toronto.

Tampa Bay then allowed three goals combined in a four-game sweep of the Florida Panthers, the Presidents' Trophy winners and the top scoring team during the regular season (4.11).

The Lightning lost the first two games of the Eastern Conference finals before limiting the New York Rangers to one even-strength goal in the final four to become the first team since the mid 1980s to reach three straight Stanley Cup finals.

Three very good offensive teams down. One to go. While winning the first title in the Bubble was very difficult and winning two in a row was a quite a feat, this road will be the most impressive if they can complete the journey.

The Colorado Avalanche had failed as the Western Conference favorite the previous two years, but they have finally reached the final and they are deeper and more experienced. 

Center Nathan MacKinnon is one of the league's best players and young Cale Makar is right on the heels of the Bolts' Victor Hedman among the NHL's best defensemen. Forwards Mikko Rantanen and Gabriel Landeskog put up big numbers offensively every year and center Nazem Kadri is having a great season, but his status is up in the air due to an upper-body injury.

The Bolts must do the same thing they did once control of the last three series was seized. They limited the bad turnovers which fed the high-octane offenses, they kept the puck to the outside as much as possible and won board battles to make the opposing top players play defense.

Let the world's best goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy win you another championship without making 40 saves each contest. That's the ticket. The Avalanche are averaging 40.7 shots per game in the playoffs and a league-best 4.64 goals. Colorado's power play was seventh in the regular season at 24 percent. 

But the Lightning can score with them, especially because the advantage in goal is the biggest in the series. Darcy Kuemper is a solid netminder and Pavel Francouz did just fine when he was hurt against Edmonton in the Western final. They still can't rival the Big Cat.

The Avs challenge will be even tougher if Brayden Point can return from a lower-body injury, which kept him out of the last two series. Tampa Bay will score goals. But they must have the puck more, as they did against the Rangers once they took over. That will be the key. It can't be an up and down game with odd-man rushes.

Coach Jon Cooper was asked all year about the loss of the Bolts' pesky third line - Barclay Goodrow, Yanni Gourde and Blake Coleman. He may have found one in the last series as Anthony Cirelli, flanked by Brandon Hagel and Alex Killorn, were fantastic defensively. Honestly, their best defense was their forecheck. They kept the puck away from New York's best players. Can they do it again against MacKinnon?

Everyone has stepped up for the Lightning. Captain Steven Stamkos has nine goals, Nikita Kucherov leads the team in points, Ondrej Palat has done a little of everything, Nick Paul has had some monster shifts and others have done their thing up front. Victor Hedman did not play well against Florida, but was big in the other two series, Eric Cernak might have been the best defenseman in the first three rounds, Ryan McDonagh keeps doing Ryan McDonagh things and Mikhail Sergachev saved his best two contests for last two.

There's no reason it can't continue. It may just come down to whether this is Colorado's time. The top players may just cancel each other out. It might be decided by production from the supporting players. If Point is re-introduced to the lineup, you wonder whether he goes back with Kucherov and Palat or joins Paul and Colton while Corey Perry returns to the fourth unit.

Cooper has had the right answers for three seasons. Does he have a few more for Colorado?

My thought is this. If the Lightning can get one of the first two games in Denver, the Findaways will get it done somehow, some way. I don't think they can dig themselves out of a 2-0 hole again. But you can doubt this group of players at your peril. Whatever happens, they are a special group.

The first three rounds were nerve-wracking for me, even after winning two Cups. Did not want the run to end against any of those teams. I think I can sit and enjoy this series. Two fantastic teams, incredible skill and history on the line.

Enjoy, hockey world. This might be the most entertaining series in a long time.